Why auditing AI 2027 timelines matters: 10/25/50% imply different strategies
austinc3301 · x · 2026-11-10
austinc3301 explains why he spent a weekend auditing the AI 2027 timeline probabilities: 10%, 25% and 50% odds of ASI by 2027 imply very different strategies, and the number is a crux for the Kairos strategy in particular. He reiterates his message shouldn't read as reassuring — people should be freaked out — he only rejected the biggest sources of cope.
Related event: Safety researcher updates ASI timeline: ~25% odds by end of 2027(6 posts)→
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