Polymarket gives OpenAI's next Astra model a 58% chance of shipping by Thursday
Polymarket · x · 2026-11-10
Prediction market Polymarket has opened a series of "GPT Astra 6.1 Released?" contracts, currently pricing a 58% chance that OpenAI ships its next Astra model by Thursday.
Market structure shows later deadlines (Sept–Nov 2026) already settled as "No," with the Nov 9 window at just 2% and Nov 11 at 17% — signaling real disagreement on timing. A useful sentiment tracker for release rumors.
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