AI safety researcher updates timelines: AI-driven research speedup of ~1.6–1.9x is real
austinc3301 · x · 2026-11-10
In his thread, austinc3301 explains his timeline update: the current acceleration is probably real and mostly AI-driven, with a magnitude of roughly 1.6–1.9x per his own model.
Given how skeptical he was of frontier labs' AI-uplift self-reports, this marks a significant update toward shorter timelines.
Related event: Safety researcher updates ASI timeline: ~25% odds by end of 2027(6 posts)→
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