Researcher updates AGI timeline bet: continuous learning needed, 3-5 years
thomasahle · x · 2026-11-10
In a discussion with OfirPress and shzhv13, thomasahle updated his timeline bet on a frontier AI problem: he previously said '1 year, 2 max,' now revising to 'maybe it'll require continuous learning to be solved. But it won't be 20 years. Maybe 3-5.' A quick sample of researchers' in-circle bets on frontier progress speed — light on detail but indicative of sentiment.
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