Polymarket Prices 11% Odds of a US AI Safety Bill Passing This Year
Polymarket · x · 2026-11-10
Prediction market Polymarket puts roughly 11% odds on a US AI safety bill being enacted by the end of 2026 (the June 30, 2027 contract sits at 83%). Its rules define an AI safety bill as legislation imposing at least one of: release bans or mandatory federal review, training restrictions (data/compute/parameters), usage restrictions in specified applications, or human-in-the-loop requirements.
The quoted news: Democratic Sen. Ed Markey demanded Google let schools disable AI features in Search, accusing the company of "forcing" AI chatbots onto children.
Related event: Polymarket Bets Only ~11% Chance of US AI Safety Bill by End of 2026(3 posts)→
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