Humans crash roughly once every 10,000 driving hours — a reliability like almost nothing else

EigenGender · x · 2026-11-10

Andrew McCalip imagines a pre-emptive safety review of cars: drivers text and eat McDonald's at 70 mph, carry 25 gallons of gasoline, train only for a short test at 16, and are separated from oncoming traffic by paint — yet "it mostly works," suggesting doomsday predictions (including about the singularity) often overestimate risk. EigenGender adds that per Claude's estimate, humans crash roughly every 10,000 driving hours — a level of reliability with so few guardrails that almost no other human activity matches, not even walking.

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