iamtrask: the graph unequivocally shows algorithmic progress dramatically slowing down
iamtrask · x · 2026-11-10
Replying to Tom Davidson and Toby Ord, iamtrask disputes the claim that algorithmic progress is speeding up: algorithmic progress is unavoidably about sample complexity, and the chart shows it slowing down dramatically. Davidson had argued that since algorithmic progress has clearly accelerated, the intelligence-explosion curve must have started to bend.
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