Tom Davidson: the spend curve's fate hinges on how you define research spend
TomDavidsonX · x · 2026-11-10
Answering Toby Ord, Tom Davidson argues the key is operationalising "research spend": if improving the quality of AIs doing AI research counts as increasing spend, the curve can hold and spend goes to infinity; if not, the curve breaks—research spend stays constant while cognitive inputs to AI R&D massively increase.
More from AGI Musings
- wordgrammer: The most likely way AI goes to zero is a Butlerian Jihad, not X-risk or a bubble — wordgrammer · 2026-11-10
- Reflecting on Bittensor: TAO flat YTD, but the network has changed a lot — markjeffrey · 2026-11-10
- Context is all that matters: why AI life advice falls flat — Mountain_Finger4856 · 2026-11-10
- Cloud warehouse AI is quietly eliminating data engineers' work — jonathanmendez · 2026-11-10
- Microsoft AI's Suleyman spotlights Humanist Review with Acemoglu on AI and work — mustafasuleyman · 2026-11-10
- Mustafa Suleyman to debate AI abundance at SF Commonwealth Club on Nov 18 — mustafasuleyman · 2026-11-10