Toby Ord: AI revenue may scale exponentially with intelligence, but attribution unclear
tobyordoxford · x · 2026-11-10
Researcher Toby Ord argues it remains unclear whether AI revenue (or social value) is exponential in ECI (effective compute intelligence) or in pretraining loss — but it is likely some fast-growing, possibly super-exponential function. He notes natural experiments or new measurement techniques could eventually disentangle the two hypotheses.
Related event: Toby Ord: AI revenue growth blends capability, application and lag effects(4 posts)→
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