LLM survey of 600k firms across 40 countries: new innovation-measurement paper GAIIS
soumitrashukla9 · x · 2026-11-10
Paper
A new paper by Prashant Garg, Peter John Lambert, Ralf Martin and Denis Medvedev pilots the Global AI Innovation Survey: LLMs complete detailed innovation surveys at scale.
Key findings
- Covers 600,000 firms across 40 countries, yielding 6 million innovation instances with rich textual descriptions.
- One SD increase in a firm's product innovation index associates with 5% higher measured TFP residual — the data carry real signal.
- Innovation is widespread: two-fifths of firms do product innovation, one-quarter process innovation, far exceeding the patenting share.
- On direction: firms are more often labor-augmenting than labor-saving (3.2M vs 1.1M in the embedded atlas); 14% have green product innovation, 12% green process innovation, with greenness and net labor augmentation positively associated across countries.
Demonstrates LLMs' potential for population-scale survey-level insights.
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