Polymarket odds give Nvidia 28% chance of ending 2026 below $4T market cap

Polymarket · x · 2026-11-09

After Nvidia erased $325B in market cap at the open, Polymarket launched a market on Nvidia's year-end 2026 market cap ($67.8K volume). Current odds: <$4T at 28.3%, $4.0-4.5T at 33.1%, $4.5-5.0T at 16%, $5.0-5.5T at 21%, and only 7% for $6.5T+. Over 60% probability sits below $4.5T, showing clear market skepticism.

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