InstaDeep CEO maps frontier progress onto AI2027: unreleased models halfway to Agents-2
HankYeomans · x · 2026-11-09
InstaDeep CEO Karim Beguir compares current frontier progress with the AI2027 scenario:
- Anthropic's unreleased Models 3 and 4 sit halfway between AI2027's Agents-1 and Agents-2 (graphs fixed per the AI2027 authors' bug flag).
- Public models massively lag unreleased ones: 1 day vs 1 week of autonomous high-quality work, a gap he says is growing, fueled by RSI.
- Progress is on track with AI2027's April 2027 automated coder prediction; if the trajectory holds, it implies a world-changing intelligence explosion in 2027.
Note: claims about unreleased models are the author's own assessment, unverified.
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