Toby Ord pushes back: reasoning and coding models aren't separate eras

tobyordoxford · x · 2026-11-09

Toby Ord responds to Ben Todd's claim that reasoning models and coding models represent two distinct eras, saying he's unconvinced: without the trend lines drawn on the chart, the data points alone wouldn't suggest a trend break at the reasoning-model era. A light but substantive exchange on whether scaling shows an era shift.

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