Judea Pearl: I didn't prove smoking causes cancer — I built causal methods

yudapearl · x · 2026-11-09

Judea Pearl pushes back on a claim that he "proved smoking causes cancer," clarifying he instead developed methods for reasoning about causal questions like cancer's causes. He adds that persistent divergences in language between him and statistician Andrew Gelman (@StatModeling) mean no agreement is in sight, continuing their long-running Bayesian-vs-causal-inference debate.

Original post →

More from AGI Musings

AGI Musings channel →