METR says it has 'convincing evidence' AI speeds up research — but the details are redacted

peterwildeford · x · 2026-11-09

peterwildeford clarifies his read of METR's research-acceleration claim: METR says it has received "convincing evidence that the acceleration was not due to an acceleration in the scale of training compute," but the details were redacted, so the claim rests on trusting METR's private information rather than publicly verifiable data.

Based on that, he personally believes AI is responsible for at least 1.4x acceleration in research progress, while acknowledging this is grounded in trust in METR, not clear independent public evidence.

Related event: METR says redacted evidence confirms AI is speeding up frontier research(2 posts)→

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