Jacques revisits bio-anchors debate: the evidence that updated everyone on short AGI timelines isn't rock solid

JacquesThibs · x · 2026-11-09

Jacques Thiboise recalls the 2021 MIRI bio-anchors report and Eliezer Yudkowsky's rebuttal 'Biology-Inspired AGI Timelines: The Trick That Never Works', which many eventually updated toward. He notes the irony: after advocating short timelines and adjusted funding from 2022-2025, he now questions whether the evidence behind that update was ever solid — and gets called a 'normie who can't update'.

Related event: AI Safety Researchers Reverse Course on Short AGI Timelines(2 posts)→

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