Debate: is claiming near-100% p(doom) actually high status inside Anthropic?

BronsonSchoen · x · 2026-11-08

A debate over "Bay Area social dynamics": Matthew Ktromp argues that "if someone building something says it will almost definitely kill everyone on earth, you should take them seriously." vooooogel pushes back that naïveté about those dynamics doesn't help, implying performative doom-pressure exists.

BronsonSchoen counters that viewing Anthropic internally as "high status to say you have near 100% p-doom and that alignment is unsolvable" is factually untrue — and untrue of any lab ecosystem except perhaps MIRI — and dislikes claims premised on secret knowledge of "Bay Area social dynamics."

Related event: Debate: Is performative doom-signaling a status symbol in AI safety circles(2 posts)→

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