Researcher: Berkeley safety groups overreacted to the METR 2x report

LisaThiergart · x · 2026-11-08

AI safety researcher Lisa Thiergart says she's surprised some Berkeley AI safety groups treat the METR 2x report as such a big update—it aligns with what she has predicted for the past two years and why she chose to work on security. She suggests they relied too heavily on AIFP forecasting and didn't spend enough time in SF talking to people.

Related event: METR capability-doubling report stirs panic and pushback in AI safety circles(7 posts)→

Original post →