'2027 will be crazy' isn't a prediction — asking for verifiable 5-95% AI forecasts
1a3orn · x · 2026-11-07
Responding to the popular "2027 is gonna be crazy because of AI" take, 1a3orn argues that "crazy" isn't a gradable prediction. He invites people to propose strange but verifiable events that might happen in 2027 with a probability between 5% and 95% — forecasts with real informational content that can later be judged, rather than vague doom or utopia narratives.
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