Anthropic's capability acceleration hit 1.9x the earlier rate since Oct 2025, per METR

Miles_Brundage · x · 2026-11-07

METR Evals' AECI analysis shows that since October 2025, AECI scores for Anthropic's models have grown at 1.9x the earlier rate (95% CI: 1.5–2.8). METR cautions that analysis choices affect this estimate, and how benchmark scores map to real-world capabilities remains unclear. AI safety researcher Miles Brundage quote-posted it with a "very hard to sleep" image, signaling concern about the acceleration.

Related event: METR finds Anthropic's internal AI R&D accelerating 1.9x, igniting timeline shock and redaction controversy(120 posts)→

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