If AI bug-finding scales linearly with compute, defense is in trouble

kuza55 · x · 2026-11-07

Security researchers @kuza55 and @justdionysus debate how to measure AI vulnerability discovery. @kuza55 argues the key metric is time-to-next-unique-bug: if it grows exponentially like fuzzing, AI defense wins; if model capability dominates, that also favors defense; if the harness effect dominates, offense stays a cottage industry. Worst case for defenders: bug finding is roughly linear in tokens, meaning attack cost keeps dropping with compute. @justdionysus counters that this measures a model-plus-harness saturation more than the software itself, but agrees a pure, no-secret-sauce experiment would still be informative.

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