AI Cyber Skill Doubles Every 4-5 Months, Task Horizon Grows 52x in a Year
FinanceYF5 · x · 2026-11-06
Measured by the longest cybersecurity task a frontier model completes with 80% reliability, AI cyber capability is doubling every 4-5 months: from 5.5 minutes of expert-level work in late 2024 to 40 minutes in early 2026 and 4.8 hours by April 2026 — a 52x jump in just over a year. The chart compares UK AISI cyber tasks (doubling every 4.7 months) with METR software tasks (4.2 months), noting Mythos Preview and GPT-5.5 broke both trends in April 2026. Exploits are accelerating while patching is not.
More from Models
- Tencent launches Hy4 preview: 770B MoE with vision and computer use — sven_ai · 2026-11-06
- SGLang Ships Day-0 Kimi K3.1 Support With Out-of-the-Box Megakernel — BanghuaZ · 2026-11-06
- Leaker DM claims Qwen4 is dropping, but even the timeline is a guessing game — bclavie · 2026-11-06
- All 22 DeepSeek V4.1 Flash endpoints statistically in line, most consistent model in the Index — ArtificialAnlys · 2026-11-06
- All 22 DeepSeek V4.1 Flash endpoints match reference — 3.9-point range, most consistent model in the Index — ArtificialAnlys · 2026-11-06
- Artificial Analysis launches Endpoint Accuracy Index v1.1: nearly 1 in 4 serverless endpoints score below reference — ArtificialAnlys · 2026-11-06