Eli Lifland: A 2x Progress Rate by Dec 2026 Means Roughly 4.5x Capability Uplift
inductionheads · x · 2026-11-06
AI timeline forecaster Eli Lifland offers a quantified take in a discussion about accelerating AI progress: a 2x rate of progress materializing in December 2026 corresponds to roughly a 4.5x uplift in his model. Retweeters use it to urge others to "shorten your timelines."
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