'Recursive Self-Improvement Likely Began October 2025,' Citing METR Data
ben_j_todd · x · 2026-11-06
benjtodd points to METR data suggesting recursive self-improvement may have begun in October 2025: benchmark scores are growing at 1.9x their pre-October-2025 rate (95% CI 1.5x–2.8x) once Anthropic's internal models are included, with caveats about benchmark-difficulty assumptions. Same event as the companion post in this batch; see that item for full details.
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