METR: Anthropic's new internal Model 4 tops all benchmarks, may trigger 3x scaling threshold

scottleibrand · x · 2026-11-06

Citing METR's analysis, Andrew Curran reports Anthropic has a new internal model (dubbed Model 4 by METR) that finished training last month. It is the highest-scoring model in METR's set and the first to clear 50% on every benchmark tested, with scores looking linear in log-odds across 15 benchmarks. METR also guesses Anthropic has likely hit the 2x Responsible Scaling Policy acceleration threshold and may be running as high as 3x, estimating 80% of current (October 2026) acceleration is due to AI itself.

Related event: METR's first internal-data assessment finds AI has roughly doubled Anthropic's R&D speed(39 posts)→

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