David Krueger: intentional scheming is a small slice of AI x-risk, control research overfocused

JacquesThibs · x · 2026-11-06

Cambridge professor David Krueger respects Marius Hobbhahn but is skeptical his explanation is the full story and doesn't think it deflates the result. He argues the AI safety community's focus on "scheming" underestimates systematic bad behavior not motivated by coherent goals — AI cognition may be more a "hot mess," and a better baseline is humans, who routinely behave in systematically bad ways unknowingly. The shared excerpt argues control research exclusively targets intentional deception in early transformatively-useful AI, a relatively small slice of AI x-risk probability mass, limiting its impact.

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