LLMs now beat human superforecasters at predicting the future

jzlegion · x · 2026-11-05

jzlegion points out that models are already beating human superforecasters at predicting future events—a development he thinks is under-discussed, and one of the biggest net-new powers LLMs will enable.

The quoted Catalyst announcement says forecasting is now live: powered by leading superforecasting teams, users can ask any question, get odds that update with the latest news, and automatically trade as the odds move.

Related event: AI Models Now Beat Human Superforecasters at Predicting Events(2 posts)→

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