Gary Marcus Scores His AI Predictions 17/18 in Spat With Sabine Hossenfelder
GaryMarcus · x · 2026-11-04
Gary Marcus pushed back at Sabine Hossenfelder for quoting a few of his predictions out of context, saying he scored 17 of 18 high-confidence predictions correct and accusing her of 'character assassination, not science.' A revealing AI-circle dustup about prediction scorekeeping and divergent stances on AI progress.
Related event: Gary Marcus Claims 17/18 Predictions Right in Feud with Sabine(3 posts)→
More from AGI Musings
- Luiza Jarovsky: AI labs are co-responsible for rising AI cyberattacks and should be legally required to help defend society — LuizaJarovsky · 2026-11-05
- CellType claims 27B biology model beats all 12 frontier models at predicting cell behavior — alifcoder · 2026-11-05
- AI circle debates Dario's 'Machines of Loving Grace' and EA-shaped Claude — teortaxesTex · 2026-11-05
- Inside a16z's agent podcast: trust is the top fear among 147 tracked AI assistants — a16z · 2026-11-05
- Who gets to be expensive? Agents get subsidized while companion users get rationed — serialchilla91 · 2026-11-05
- Benchmark community called out: less flaw-pointing, more support for fixers — sarahcat21 · 2026-11-05