PhD paper forecasts GSM8K accuracy within 3 pts using 5600x less compute via hinted benchmarks
kenziyuliu · x · 2026-11-04
@rckpudi's final PhD paper (co-led with @LukeBailey181, thread by @suzeva) turns a benchmark into a series of easier, hinted versions. Jointly modeling scale C and hint level H lets them forecast full GSM8K accuracy (H=0) within 3 points using 5600x less compute — effectively predicting benchmark performance from models that score zero. A talk recording and further takeaways are linked.
Related event: Stanford's Hinted Scaling Laws Predict Benchmark Scores at 1/5600 Compute(4 posts)→
More from Research
- Larger tokenizers suffer more multi-epoch regret, small vocabs survive repeats — SonglinYang4 · 2026-11-04
- Reddit debates claim that 3-SAT and #3-SAT are solvable in subexponential time — burny_tech · 2026-11-04
- Dataset of 2k+ LLM chats with real voters released to build better decision evals — logangraham · 2026-11-04
- ORNL Paper: Useful Quantum Computing Needs 4M Qubits and 800 Square Meters — anirbanbandyo · 2026-11-04
- DR Pixel: open-source 27B deep research agent reads paper pages without OCR, matches GPT-5.4 — CShorten30 · 2026-11-04
- Nigerian Legal Corpus released: cleaned constitutional and legal texts for RAG and legal NLP — saheedniyi_02 · 2026-11-04