Parallel agents collapse: Opus joint success drops from 62% to 16%

EliasEskin · x · 2026-11-04

The authors compare a single-agent oracle, sequential hand-offs, and parallel agents (unaware / aware / message-connected) across open and closed-weight models. Parallel agents fail far more: Opus 4.8 drops from 62% to 16% joint success on contradictory tasks and 86% to 57% on complementary ones (open-weight average 60% → 19%, 72% → 53%). Even with gold-test debugging, oracle hits 98% vs 38% for parallel agents — each half works, the combination doesn't. A single A→B hand-off recovers much of the gap (16% → 54%) but doesn't scale to hundreds of agents.

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