New paper: AI can forecast economics RCT results; $1M+ forecasting competition launches
Afinetheorem · x · 2026-11-03
Researcher Eva Vivalt released a working paper showing AI can predict treatment effects in economics experiments from pre-registration documents. Alongside it, a forward-looking multi-round prediction league launches to test whether forthcoming RCT results can be forecast, with $1M+ in total prizes committed and a $500k+ first-round pilot prize pool.
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