Gary Marcus doubles down: Anthropic's AGI projections were 'insane,' $10K bet still on

GaryMarcus · x · 2026-11-03

Gary Marcus says he called it six months ago: Anthropic's AGI timeline projections were "insane" — and the Y-axis on the chart wasn't much better, he jokes. He also resurfaces his public wager with @JosephJacks, offering $10,000 that the latter's 2030 prediction will prove wrong, inviting a DM to arrange details and cc'ing David Sacks. Another round in the ongoing optimist-vs-skeptic fight over AGI timelines.

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