Mollick: expert-level work benchmarks are brutally hard, and ARC-AGI, GDPval, METR are saturated

emollick · x · 2026-11-02

Ethan Mollick praises SemiAnalysis for pulling off something valuable: benchmarks of expert-level work are incredibly hard to do, and SemiAnalysis is managing it.

His take: this is especially useful right now because many major benchmarks — ARC-AGI, GDPval, METR Long Tasks — have become completely saturated, so the field needs harder evaluations that can actually differentiate top-tier model performance.

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