AI Impacts' '5% extinction' framing was misleading: the survey also asked about severe disempowerment

NathanpmYoung · x · 2026-11-01

Nathan Young points out that AI Impacts' 2024 press release claimed the median AI expert gave a 5% chance of extinction, but the survey actually asked about extinction OR similarly permanent and severe disempowerment. So the misleading framing wasn't just introduced by journalists — the official press release itself compressed the question's scope.

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