747 AI-agent ideas reveal a scaling law for idea descent: +17% per doubling

DimitrisPapail · x · 2026-11-01

Dimitris Papail shares an experiment chart showing 'scaling laws for idea descent': across 747 ideas from four AI-agent campaigns in five days (Codex, Claude Code, two Copilot swarms), best result rose from 0.93× to 2.25× baseline, gaining 17% per doubling of ideas, with an estimated hard ceiling ≈2.39–2.45× around 2,200 ideas. Chart shows Claude Code handing off at 1.95×.

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