AI circle debates plateau: no new SOTA in 5 weeks seen as possible slowdown signal
kimmonismus · x · 2026-11-01
kimmonismus argues AI isn't plateauing, citing Fable 5.5's imminent release, Opus 5.5 being just 5 weeks old, and frontier labs like OpenAI showcasing strong unreleased internal models — though he admits he has "no proof."
@bendee983 counters that a model going unbeaten for five weeks could hint at a slowdown in the current paradigm until something genuinely new arrives (like the pre- vs post-o1 shift).
Related event: AI Community Debates Whether Model Progress Has Hit a Plateau(2 posts)→
More from AGI Musings
- Neuroscientist weighs in: AI consciousness unsettled, non-biological systems still in play — davidmanheim · 2026-11-01
- Switzerland is the only country with both very high AI adoption and spend — DesireeCachette · 2026-11-01
- Reddit debate: cloud LLMs change rules on a whim — only local models are reliable — Substantial_Swan_144 · 2026-11-01
- "2 years to escape the underclass" was AI industry fear marketing to boost valuations — Signalman23 · 2026-11-01
- Ben Goertzel: the common framing of the 'bitter lesson' is 'quite stupid' — bengoertzel · 2026-11-01
- Dev shares safety architecture for self-improving agent: out-of-band release controller with passkey approvals — viksit · 2026-11-01