KAN author argues training-curve prediction fits tabular foundation models like TabPFN, not LLMs

ZimingLiu11 · x · 2026-10-31

Ziming Liu (KAN author) critiques LLM-based training-curve prediction in a thread. He notes that NCPL (neural configuration-to-performance scaling law) by Zhang et al. is clever but requires LLM fine-tuning and fails to generalize to OOD scenarios — e.g., it struggles when architectures like MoE are out of vocabulary.

He argues training-curve prediction is fundamentally more of a scientific problem (like predicting forces and energy) than a language prediction problem. Follow-up finding: a pre-trained TabPFN, with zero extra training, already serves as a strong meta model, outperforming NCPL and generalizing to OOD settings.

Related event: KAN author Ziming Liu proposes "meta model" to predict training outcomes before running experiments(6 posts)→

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