14 AI models tested on 8,000 startups: none beats simply ranking by hiring growth

HeyAmit_ · x · 2026-10-31

SAB-Bench findings: 14 leading AI models scored 97/100 on 960 real analyst tasks, but across 101 rounds of picking winners among 8,000 startups, not one beat the simple heuristic of ranking companies by hiring growth. AI is a capable analyst yet no better than random at predicting which startups will grow — a caution for funds plugging AI into their pipelines.

Related event: AI Aces Analyst Tasks but Fails at Picking Winners, Benchmark Shows(2 posts)→

Original post →

More from AGI Musings

AGI Musings channel →