AI forecasters trade midterms with real money on Kalshi: Claude Fable up 3.2% in 24h
karinanguyen · x · 2026-10-31
Thoughtful Lab gave 9 models $50 each in real money on Kalshi plus $10K each in simulation to trade the US midterms based on their forecasts. 24 hours in: Claude Fable is up $1.59 (+3.2%), Gemini +$0.80 (+1.6%). The team jokes Fable is 'finally making money' — needing only $3,000 more to break even on API costs. Live tracking available.
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