Intelligence per dollar fell ~1,000,000x in three years, shows double-exponential chart
banteg · x · 2026-10-31
ProbablyNoam's chart (retweeted by banteg) uses a rough benchmark-derived proxy for a "unit of intelligence": price dropped 1,000,000x in three years, a double exponential driven by both hardware and architecture efficiency. Landmarks span GPT-4 to GPT-5, Opus 4.6 and Kimi K3, with the latest low of $0.000001 per unit from DeepSeek V4.1 Flash on Rubin, across Hopper/Blackwell/Rubin eras.
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