RSI means faster progress for all models, not a path out of saturation

herbiebradley · x · 2026-10-30

A substantive exchange on AI capability saturation. The counterpart argues frontier models will scale to larger and larger tasks, becoming a "drop-in remote team, remote department, remote company" — noting Claude writing a game already spans many traditional company roles.

herbiebradley counters that this doesn't establish lack of saturation: fundamentally, RSI (recursive self-improvement) implies faster progress for sub-frontier models too. His thought experiment: if you could import Q4 2028 frontier capability at Haiku prices, new larger unsaturated tasks would surely emerge as a frontier revenue source — but can you name a specific thing the average enterprise does today that would remain unsaturated in that scenario? The implication: per-token enterprise demand could be met cheaply, putting the persistence of a frontier premium in doubt.

Related event: Debate Flares Over Whether Frontier Model Token Demand Will Saturate(5 posts)→

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