AI discourse forgot: 'seed AI' singletons were wrong, the multi-agent/CAIS frame was prescient

sebkrier · x · 2026-10-30

sebkrier argues that if AI discourse were efficient, more people would notice how wrong the 'singleton/seed AI' camp was (despite being right about capability gains) and how prescient the multi-agent/CAIS framing proved. The attached CAIS paper excerpt notes that since automation includes AI R&D itself, the trajectory points to asymptotically comprehensive, superintelligent-level AI services—where agents are one class of service products, not the necessary engine of progress.

Related event: Single 'Seed AI' Narrative Fades as Multi-Agent Future Takes Hold(2 posts)→

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