Ofir Press Predicts ~70% of Currently Open Math Problems Solved Within a Year

OfirPress · x · 2026-10-30

Princeton researcher Ofir Press clarified his earlier claim in a exchange with Dimitris Papailiopoulos: extrapolating from current success rates, he considers it "not wild" to predict that 70% of currently open math questions will be solved within a year — a striking capability forecast for frontier models in mathematical research.

Related event: SWE-bench Author Calls Millennium Problems the Best AI Benchmark, Predicts 70% of Open Math Questions Solved Within a Year(9 posts)→

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