Compute allocation recipe: 32 tuning runs at smallest scale, 68.7% budget at largest

karen_ullrich · x · 2026-10-29

Thread sub-post with the actionable recipe: small models are cheap to train, so allocate compute across sizes—run 32 tuning configs at the cheapest scale (vs 1 at the next), but spend 68.7% of the compute budget on the largest scale and only 8.6% on the smallest. Also shows endpoint errors move predictions far more than mid-curve errors. Full recommendations in the paper.

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