Scaling laws emerge at 4M params—on the fully tuned frontier

karen_ullrich · x · 2026-10-29

Thread sub-post with key figure: scaling laws emerge even for 4M-parameter models, but only on the fully tuned frontier. The chart shows validation loss vs compute for models from 4M to 268M—most runs sit far above the dashed tuned frontier, showing how hard that frontier is to find at small scales.

Related event: Meta/NYU study shows scaling laws hold down to 4M-parameter models(5 posts)→

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