New Working Paper Finds LLMs Can Forecast Economics RCT Treatment Effects
soumitrashukla9 · x · 2026-10-29
A new working paper by evavivalt asks whether AI can forecast treatment effects in economics from pre-registration documents. Answer: yes.
Paul Novosad frames it alongside economists' argument that as LLMs take over desk research, the relative importance of RCTs should rise—suggesting a practical role for AI in prior-predicting experimental results before running them.
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