BallotBench pits 9 frontier AI agents against the 2026 midterms; GPT 6.1 alone picks Democrats
goyal__pramod · x · 2026-10-29
thoughtfullab launched BallotBench, a live benchmark where 9 frontier AI agents predict the 2026 US midterms from now through Election Day on Nov 3, with public feeds showing each agent research, revise, and make calls. Current split: GPT 6.1 Sol is the only model picking Democrats to win Iowa, astra calls it a perfect 50/50 tossup, and everyone else favors the Republican — testing whether AI can out-forecast experts and prediction markets.
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