Polymarket gives Google 41% odds to lead AI race as Gemini 4 Carbon tops intelligence index

Polymarket · x · 2026-10-29

Polymarket currently puts Google's odds of leading the AI race at year-end at 41%.

Word is spreading that Google has unveiled Gemini 4 Carbon, its most powerful model yet, claiming the top spot on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index ahead of Claude Opus 5.5 and GPT-6 Astra.

Related event: Google launches Gemini 4 Carbon, topping the Artificial Analysis index(84 posts)→

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