Public debt vs. pension benefits chart shows surprising correlation, R² = 0.54

rickasaurus · x · 2026-10-28

rickasaurus shares a 2024 chart comparing government gross debt (% of GDP) against maximum annual public pension for a couple across ten countries. The linear fit shows R² = 0.54 — every $1,000 of pension correlates with 2 points of debt/GDP. Japan (235% debt) and the US ($94k pension) sit at opposite extremes. Debt data from IMF Fiscal Monitor April 2025; pension figures transcribed from an image, source unverified.

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