PyMC Labs blog quantifies college football rankings with Bayesian uncertainty over 929 games

twiecki · x · 2026-10-28

PyMC Labs published a new post by Chris Fonnesbeck, "Rank and Uncertainty," arguing that typical rankings only give an ordered list. Instead, a Bayesian model in PyMC estimates how far apart two college football teams really are — and how confident we can be — validated on 929 games from the 2025 season, with posterior distributions showing overlap between teams like Notre Dame, Ohio State, Miami and Alabama.

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